Sunday, March 31, 2013

'In fair weather, prepare for foul' / Columns / The Foreigner ...

Published on Saturday, 30th March, 2013 at 11:00 under the columns category, by Ilan Kelman.
Last Updated on 30th March 2013 at 11:11.

Thomas Fuller had a point. Easter holidaymakers in southern Norway are basking in the sunshine, whilst people are losing their lives in the north.

Weather is in the news in Norway. There is a huge temperature difference from this time last year, plus avalanche warnings for the hills. Does this make the weather topsy-turvy?

The extremes do seem to be getting worse across Norway and the weather appears to be more unstable. Simultaneously, we are burning fossil fuels at an alarming rate.

There is no doubt that climate change caused by our actions is affecting the environment. We are heading into a climate regime which humanity has never before experienced.

Permafrost is expected to melt in the Arctic. Sea level is projected to rise to a level which could threaten coastal infrastructure. The Arctic Ocean will have much less sea ice than before.

These changes to the climate (long-term trends) definitely affect the weather (short-term trends). We will experience impacts from both the weather and the longer-term changes, in Norway and around the world.

Some claim that the changes will be advantageous. They want warmer winters. Yet they do not realise that temperature extremes are likely to increase in all seasons. They want an ice-free Arctic Ocean for shipping, yet do not realise that many storms might worsen.

Even if some changes are positive, there will still be immense costs to bear across Norway.

Because simultaneously with a climate regime which is new for humanity, we have a society and technology which humanity has never before experienced.

While humanity has never been immune to severe weather and climate impacts, we have created many vulnerabilities, which climate change will expose further than they are already.

More extreme snowfall will continue to close airports and ground flights. Changes in permafrost, sea-level, and erosion will damage infrastructure. Floods will continue to undermine roads and railways. Increased humidity will damage historic structures.

Is this topsy-turvy, or just trends that increase extremes which we already experience? It does not matter. The changes to the climate which we are causing end up hurting ourselves most.

Dr. Ilan Kelman?is a Senior Research Fellow at the Center for International Climate and Environmental Research - Oslo (CICERO).


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Published on Saturday, 30th March, 2013 at 11:00 under the columns category, by Ilan Kelman.
Last updated on 30th March 2013 at 11:11.

Source: http://theforeigner.no/pages/columns/in-fair-weather-prepare-for-foul/

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Friday, March 29, 2013

Vaishno Devi Helicopter Booking

By: anny mack Vaishno devi has always been one of the well-known pilgrimage location where an incredible number of enthusiasts go every season. As opposed to the many pilgrim areas in India, the Vaishno Devi which is located in Jammu and Kashmir is a shrine located 5, 300 ft above. The shrine is located exactly 61 kms away from Jammu and the last 13 Kms of the trip has to be finished by pilgrims via feet. Although there are other features available to trip to the shrine many choose getting the delights of goddess via feet. This reveals their highest commitment towards the goddess. We often wonder is it necessary to go on a pilgrimage, but pilgrimages should not be done in power. Only if an individual is enthusiastic about doing that he must go for it. Individuals go on pilgrimages because that gives them everlasting pleasure and pleasure. In this damaged and stress loaded lifestyle the only factor that can provide serenity is viewing a sacred shrine which is Vaishno Devi.
Many people try walking until the cave shrine while few others who have wellness problems take horse or choose to go by helicopter. The Vaishno devi helicopter bookings can be done easily either through the internet or phone call. This way of travelling to this shrine via helicopter proves to be very useful for people who are not fit enough to climb and walk. There is a different en altogether different excitement in getting the blessings of the goddess. As people from all over the world visit this temple many people opt for the helicopter service. Earlier there was no such facility and every one had to walk up to the shrine or ire a pony. But since the helicopter service have started visiting the shrine has indeed become very easy.
Earlier however, the facilities were not as excellent as the ones available these times. Individuals previously used simply keep walking kilometres together to get one glance of the Vaishno Devi. But all thanks to the transportation program. As we know Jammu is one position which joins to other locations very easily many pilgrims make sure to visit the shrine via Jammu. Choosing a Vaishno devi helicopter service in itself appears to be very interesting. Those individuals who have never in their life travelled via a helicopter must surely try it once in their lifetime as it is truly a very blissful experience.
The benefit behind viewing the Vaishno devi by helicopter is it helps you to not waste time. Though it is a bit expensive it allows pilgrims arrive to their location easily without any problems. The resorts near the shrine too are very easily available so tourists need not fear about their accommodation. All types of traditional, economic and high-class resorts are available and the arranging for these can be done either through phone or via the internet very easily. During the off period the count of pilgrims is relatively less so you could well plan your trip Vaishno devi helicopter booking in advance for a comfortable travel.

About the Author:
Anny Mack is a well known author and has been writing articles for providing you cheap packages of Mata viashno devi yatra, Vaishno devi helicopter bookings and Vaishno devi helicopter service, Vaishno devi by helicopter, Katra Hotels, helicopter services booking online.

Article Originally Published On: http://www.articlesnatch.com


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Sun block for the 'Big Dog': Astronomers detect titanium oxide and titanium dioxide around the giant star VY Canis Majoris

Mar. 27, 2013 ? An international team of astronomers, including researchers from the Max Planck Institute for Radio Astronomy and from the University of Cologne, successfully identified two titanium oxides in the extended atmosphere around a giant star. The object VY Canis Major is one of the largest stars in the known universe and close to the end of its life. The detection was made using telescope arrays in the USA and in France.

The discovery was made in the course of a study of a spectacular star, VY Canis Majoris or VY CMa for short, which is a variable star located in the constellation Canis Major (Greater Dog). "VY CMa is not an ordinary star, it is one of the largest stars known, and it is close the end of its life," says Tomasz Kami?ski from the Max Planck Institute for Radio Astronomy (MPIfR). In fact, with a size of about one to two thousand times that of the Sun, it could extend out to the orbit of Saturn if it were placed in the centre of our Solar System.

The star ejects large quantities of material which forms a dusty nebula. It becomes visible because of the small dust particles that form around it which reflect light from the central star. The complexity of this nebula has been puzzling astronomers for decades. It has been formed as a result of stellar wind, but it is not understood well why it is so far from having a spherical shape.

Neither is known what physical process blows the wind, i.e. what lifts the material up from the stellar surface and makes it expand. "The fate of VY CMa is to explode as a supernova, but it is not known exactly when it will happen," adds Karl Menten, head of the "Millimetre and Submillimetre Astronomy" Department at MPIfR.

Observations at different wavelengths provide different pieces of information which is characteristic for atomic and molecular gas and from which physical properties of an astronomical object can be derived. Each molecule has a characteristic set of lines, something like a 'bar code', that allows to identify what molecules exist in the nebula.

"Emission at short radio wavelengths, in so-called submillimetre waves, is particularly useful for such studies of molecules," says Sandra Br?nken from the University of Cologne. "The identification of molecules is easier and usually a larger abundance of molecules can be observed than at other parts of the electromagnetic spectrum."

The research team observed TiO and TiO2 for the first time at radio wavelengths. In fact, titanium dioxide has been seen in space unambiguously for the first time. It is known from every-day life as the main component of the commercially most important white pigment (known by painters as "titanium white") or as an ingredient in sunscreens. It is also quite possible that the reader consumed some amounts of it as it is used to colour food (coded as E171 in the labels).

However, stars, especially the coolest of them, are expected to eject large quantities of titanium oxides, which, according to theory, form at relatively high temperatures close to the star. "They tend to cluster together to form dust particles visible in the optical or in the infrared," says Nimesh Patel from the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics. "And the catalytic properties of TiO2 may influence the chemical processes taking place on these dust particles, which are very important for forming larger molecules in space," adds Holger M?ller from the University of Cologne.

Absorption features of TiO have been known from spectra in the visible region for more than a hundred years. In fact, these features are used in part to classify some types of stars with low surface temperatures (M- and S-type stars). The pulsation of Mira stars, one specific class of variable stars, is thought to be caused by titanium oxide. Mira stars, supergiant variable stars in a late stage of their evolution, are named after their prototype star "Mira" (the wonderful) in the constellation of Cetus (the 'sea monster' or the 'whale').

The observations of TiO and TiO2 show that the two molecules are easily formed around VY CMa at a location that is more or less as predicted by theory. It seems, however, that some portion of those molecules avoid forming dust and are observable as gas phase species. Another possibility is that the dust is destroyed in the nebula and releases fresh TiO molecules back to the gas. The latter scenario is quite likely as parts of the wind in VY CMa seem to collide with each other.

The new detections at submillimetre wavelengths are particularly important because they allow studying the process of dust formation. Also, at optical wavelengths, the radiation emitted by the molecules is scattered by dust present in the extended nebula which blurs the picture, while this effect is negligible at radio wavelengths allowing for more precise measurements.

The discoveries of TiO and TiO2 in the spectrum of VY CMa have been made with the Submillimetre Array (SMA), a radio interferometer located at Hawaii, USA. Because the instrument combines eight antennas which worked together as one big telescope 226-meters in size, astronomers were able to make observations at unprecedented sensitivity and angular resolution. A confirmation of the new detections was successively made later with the IRAM Plateau de Bure Interferometer (PdBI) located in the French Alps.

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Story Source:

The above story is reprinted from materials provided by Max-Planck-Gesellschaft.

Note: Materials may be edited for content and length. For further information, please contact the source cited above.


Journal Reference:

  1. T. Kami?ski, C. A. Gottlieb, K. M. Menten, N. A. Patel, K. H. Young, S. Br?nken, H. S. P. M?ller, M. C. McCarthy, J. M. Winters, L. Decin. Pure rotational spectra of TiO and TiO2in VY Canis Majoris. Astronomy & Astrophysics, 2013; 551: A113 DOI: 10.1051/0004-6361/201220290

Note: If no author is given, the source is cited instead.

Disclaimer: Views expressed in this article do not necessarily reflect those of ScienceDaily or its staff.

Source: http://feeds.sciencedaily.com/~r/sciencedaily/~3/2TrLzq1N3xU/130327143841.htm

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Thursday, March 28, 2013

Astronomers discover new kind of supernova

Mar. 26, 2013 ? Supernovae were always thought to occur in two main varieties. But a team of astronomers including Carnegie's Wendy Freedman, Mark Phillips and Eric Persson is reporting the discovery of a new type of supernova called Type Iax.

This research has been accepted for publication in The Astrophysical Journal.

Previously, supernovae were divided into either core-collapse or Type Ia categories. Core-collapse supernovae are the explosion of a star about 10 to 100 times as massive as our sun. Type Ia supernovae are the complete disruption of a tiny white dwarf.

This new type, Iax, is fainter and less energetic than Type Ia. Although both types come from exploding white dwarfs, Type Iax supernovas may not completely destroy the white dwarf. "A Type Iax supernova is essentially a mini supernova," says lead author Ryan Foley, Clay Fellow at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics (CfA). "It's the runt of the supernova litter."

The research team--which also included Max Stritzinger, formerly of Carnegie--identified 25 examples of the new type of supernova. None of them appeared in elliptical galaxies, which are filled with old stars. This suggests that Type Iax supernovas come from young star systems.

Based on a variety of observational data, the team concluded that a Type Iax supernova comes from a binary star system containing a white dwarf and a companion star that has lost its outer hydrogen, leaving it helium dominated. The white dwarf collects helium from the normal star.

Researchers aren't sure what triggers a Type Iax. It's possible that the outer helium layer ignites first, sending a shock wave into the white dwarf. Alternatively, the white dwarf might ignite first due to the influence of the overlying helium shell.

Either way, it appears that in many cases the white dwarf survives the explosion, unlike in a Type Ia supernova where the white dwarf is completely destroyed.

The team calculates that Type Iax supernovae are about a third as common as Type Ia supernovae. The reason so few have been detected is that the faintest are only one-hundredth as bright as a Type Ia supernova.

"The closer we look, the more ways we find for stars to explode," Phillips said.

The Large Synoptic Survey Telescope could discover thousands of Type Iax supernovas over its lifetime.

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Story Source:

The above story is reprinted from materials provided by Carnegie Institution.

Note: Materials may be edited for content and length. For further information, please contact the source cited above.


Journal Reference:

  1. Ryan J. Foley, P. J. Challis, R. Chornock, M. Ganeshalingam, W. Li, G. H. Marion, N. I. Morrell, G. Pignata, M. D. Stritzinger, J. M. Silverman, X. Wang, J. P. Anderson, A. V. Filippenko, W. L. Freedman, M. Hamuy, S. W. Jha, R. P. Kirshner, C. McCully, S. E. Persson, M. M. Phillips, D. E. Reichart, A. M. Soderberg. Type Iax Supernovae: A New Class of Stellar Explosion. The Astrophysical Journal, 2013; 767 (1): 57 DOI: 10.1088/0004-637X/767/1/57

Note: If no author is given, the source is cited instead.

Disclaimer: Views expressed in this article do not necessarily reflect those of ScienceDaily or its staff.

Source: http://feeds.sciencedaily.com/~r/sciencedaily/top_news/top_technology/~3/zVYa_cE92VM/130326133337.htm

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Tucker Carlson to co-host "Fox & Friends"

NEW YORK (AP) ? Fox News Channel says veteran conservative commentator Tucker Carlson will become co-host of the network's weekend morning show, "Fox & Friends."

Carlson will replace Dave Briggs, who left Fox at the end of last year. His co-hosts on the weekend chat fest are Alisyn Camerota and Clayton Morris. Carlson will continue to make other appearances on Fox News programming.

The commentator, known for his bow ties, is the founder and editor-in-chief of The Daily Caller. He worked at both CNN and MSNBC before joining Fox News.

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/carlson-named-co-host-fox-weekend-morning-show-215153542.html

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Wednesday, March 27, 2013

AT&T's Samsung Galaxy Express getting Jelly Bean update today

Samsung Galaxy Express

Google Now, performance improvements and other features hit this mid-level Android smartphone

AT&T this morning announced that Android 4.1 Jelly Bean is now available for its Samsung Galaxy Express smartphone.  With the update you'll get the "Project Butter" performance improvements, updates to the notification area and, most important, you'll be able to rock Google Now, with all its prediction and search capabilities.

You'll also get "Blocking Mode," which lets you turn off calls and notifications for a specific period of time. Plus, you'll get a new data usage calculator.

You can snag the update now by going to Settings>About device>Software update>Check for updates. You'll need to be on Wifi.

Source: AT&T



Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/androidcentral/~3/iznHj7VQfHU/story01.htm

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From the GOP?s Sequestered Government Shut Down in Washington to the GOP?s Shut Down of Democracy in Michigan!

From the GOP?s Sequestered Government Shut Down in Washington to the GOP?s Shut Down of Democracy in Michigan!

Michigan?s Tea Partied Republican Governor Rick Snyder recently announced his second attempt to usurp democracy among Michigan voters.

Find out what it?s all about and how you can help at www.spindetective.com

Source: http://my.democrats.org/page/community/post/valeriegeorge/CP3y

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Wednesday, March 13, 2013

Space shuttle gives California Science Center an attendance boost

More than 1 million people have visited the California Science Center since space shuttle Endeavour made its debut just over four months ago, far surpassing officials' expectations for the Exposition Park museum.

Science Center President Jeffrey Rudolph initially guessed about 2 million people would see the retired orbiter in its first year at the free museum, which averages about 1.6 million visitors per year. Now, he estimates at least 2.5 million people will pass through its turnstiles ? a record.

"I never dreamed that it would be this important to L.A.," said Lynda Oschin, chairwoman of the Mr. and Mrs. Samuel and Lynda Oschin Family Foundation, which made what was described as an "extraordinary" financial contribution to bring the shuttle to the museum.

"To see all the people come out, all the children ? it's mind-boggling to me, the whole thing," Oschin said. "It's still unbelievable to me."

Museum officials had long dreamed of displaying a shuttle: Aerospace science curator Ken Phillips first pitched the idea two decades ago. NASA divvied up the shuttles in April 2011 after a fierce national competition, and the Science Center was the only institution west of the Mississippi to receive one.

Endeavour arrived in Los Angeles in September 2012 after a celebratory flight piggybacking on a modified 747 over the southern United States and major California landmarks. In October, it crawled along city streets from Los Angeles International Airport to the California Science Center, a delicate three-day operation that drew hundreds of thousands of spectators.

Two other museums that house orbiters ? the Intrepid Sea, Air and Space Museum in New York City and the Smithsonian Institution's Steven F. Udvar-Hazy Center in Virginia ? both reported increased attendance after their displays opened. The final shuttle, Atlantis, will be showcased at a facility scheduled to open this summer at the Kennedy Space Center Visitor Complex in Florida.

For now, Endeavour is in a temporary display pavilion. But museum officials are busy drawing up plans for the Samuel Oschin Air and Space Center, a wing expected to open in about five years.

There, the 122-foot-long shuttle will be displayed vertically as though ready for launch, complete with an external tank and twin solid rocket boosters. Endeavour will be the only shuttle shown in an upright position.

On Monday, the museum unveiled another shuttle-themed exhibit: "Mission 26: The Big Endeavour," which documents the orbiter's journey to Los Angeles. Glossy photographs ? including some from L.A. Times photographers ? lined the walls, leading to a bulletin board covered in brightly colored sheets of paper where visitors wrote about their experiences with the shuttle.

Also on display were projects from Amy Davis' fifth-grade class at Century Park Elementary School in Inglewood. When Davis' students watched the shuttle fly over the school last year, one was so moved he began to cry. Davis wrote the Science Center, which asked her class to help put together the new exhibit.

Davis teared up as she watched her students crowd around their display case.

"To see their work and everything here ? it just validates who they are as scholars," she said. "I tell them every day how brilliant they are, how beautiful they are, how much they can go out and change the world. And this proves it to them."

Tori Morris, 10, and her classmates wandered around the exhibit, pointing at photos and searching for their school on a floor-to-ceiling map outlining the shuttle's route through the city.

"This is, like, very amazing to see our projects in a museum because not a lot of schools have this opportunity," Tori said. "This is a once-in-a-lifetime chance."

School groups were just some of visitors who streamed into the display pavilion Monday. In awe, guests stopped almost immediately after entering, snapping photos of Endeavour.

"It's just a piece of history," said Sharon Carbonneau, who saw the shuttle as part of her family's vacation from Albuquerque. "We may never get a chance to see it actually launch, but we figured we could come and see a piece of history."

kate.mather@latimes.com

Source: http://feeds.latimes.com/~r/latimes/news/science/~3/U6o-XEbxMRk/la-me-shuttle-museum-20130312,0,1237238.story

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Sunday, March 10, 2013

Phishing Emails: The Scary Odds Of Success [Infographic]

phishing-emails-statistics-update-header

Each year, tens of thousands of people get their identity hijacked and abused because they fell victim to some online scam that cheats its way into their personal information. The tactic is called phishing, and it is one of the most common ways for crackers to get control over your accounts and assets. Phishing is a blurry mess, at least if you ask the average Internet user. To them, phishing emails are hard to identify if they don?t get caught in their spam filter.

This has created a huge problem for both banks and online services. It?s easy for an Internet pro to spot phishing emails, but you have to remember, the average Internet user spends about 68 hours per month on the Internet, mostly on email and Facebook. So how can we beef up security to make sure we don?t fall for phishing emails?

The standard approach is to look at the credibility of the email. If you wonder why you received the email in the first place, you probably should dump it into the spam bin. Reading through it is not hazardous, it?s the clicking of links that causes problems. Usually phishing emails have plenty of bad grammar, and since they are generated automatically, they usually have weird numbers and sentences that just don?t make sense.

So why are these phishing emails even sent out in the first place? According to a new study presented by Get Cyber Safe in an infographic called Phishing: How Many Take The Bait?, there are about 156 million phishing emails sent out each day. That is a lot of emails, and we are all getting them. Our spam filters catch around 90% of them. That leaves 16 million phishing emails still making it into our visual view.

About half of those (8 million) are opened. Then we get to the real problem, 10% percent of the phishing emails opened actually have a link which someone clicks. That?s 800,000 emails per day that have the potential of ruining someone?s life. The thing is, out of those 800,000 emails, around 10% are received by people who actually fall for the scam and hand out their personal information without questioning the credibility of the email first. That?s a staggering 80,000 people who get their personal information hijacked each day!

Don?t be one of them. There are several ways to protect yourself from becoming a victim of phishing emails. Just do a search on Google (for example), and you will find tons and tons of guides which will help you identify these phishing emails. Apple has a really useful support article on their website which will give you all the information you need to adequately identify phishing emails before clicking any links whatsoever.

Phishing Emails & How Successful They Really Are

(Click Infographic To Enlarge)

phishing-emails-statistics-update-infographic

Via: [Love Infographics]

Source: http://www.bitrebels.com/technology/phishing-emails-statistics-infographic/

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Saturday, March 9, 2013

Mexican state's tourism minister shot to death in ambush

MEXICO CITY (Reuters) - The new minister of tourism in one of Mexico's biggest states was shot and killed on Saturday afternoon in an upscale neighborhood of Guadalajara, the country's second most populous city, local officials said.

Jose de Jesus Gallegos, tourism minister for Jalisco, the home of tequila and Mexico's mariachi music, was stopped in his vehicle by armed men and gunned down with a pistol, state Interior Minister Arturo Zamora told reporters.

Gallegos had been in office only a week in the state, which President Enrique Pena Nieto's Institutional Revolutionary Party recaptured in a 2012 election after 18 years in opposition. The new state government took office on March 1.

Zamora said the initial investigation suggested the killing was related to Gallegos' business activities and had nothing to do with his government post.

Gallegos was the founder of Jegal Project and Construction Management, which developed expensive resorts and luxury towers across Mexico, according to the company website.

Home to 7.5 million people and dominated by Guadalajara, Jalisco is Mexico's fourth most populous state, accounting for roughly 6.5 percent of gross domestic product.

Jalisco's government has not named any suspects in the killing of Gallegos, which Pena Nieto condemned in a statement from his Twitter account, pledging to investigate the crime.

Gang-related killings rose during the 2006-2012 rule of Pena Nieto's predecessor, Felipe Calderon, who staked his reputation on crushing Mexico's violent drug cartels.

But instead, gang violence worsened, and the number of homicides in Jalisco rose to about 1,200 in each of the past two years, from less than 400 in 2007, according to police data.

On taking office last December, Pena Nieto vowed to quell the lawlessness and killing that have stained Mexico's image as a tourist destination and rattled investors.

Guadalajara has seen deepening violence since soldiers killed drug boss Ignacio "Nacho" Coronel in 2010 in the same neighborhood of mansions where Gallegos was ambushed. Coronel's death fueled turf wars among drug traffickers in the area.

(Reporting by Michael O'Boyle and Dave Graham; Editing by Peter Cooney)

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/mexican-states-tourism-minister-shot-death-ambush-011954313.html

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Friday, March 8, 2013

UPDATE: GOP Leader Says School Spending Will Increase

UPDATED Wednesday, March 6, 2013 --- 2:17 p.m.

MADISON, Wis. (AP) -- Republican Senate Majority Leader Scott Fitzgerald tells The Associated Press that public school spending will not be frozen as Gov. Scott Walker proposed.

Fitzgerald said Wednesday that there is "no doubt at all" spending will be allowed to increase starting next year. Walker's budget did not allow for any increase.

Fitzgerald tells AP, "You're going to see an increase in the per-pupil amount."

A pair of Republican senators on Friday called for an increase of $150 per student in each of the next two years. Fitzgerald was initially noncommittal, but Wednesday he told AP there is no doubt spending will be allowed to increase.

Fitzgerald says he doesn't know just how much it will be allowed to go up.

Walker's spokesman had no immediate comment.

Copyright 2013: Associated Press

_____________________________________________

Posted Wednesday, March 6, 2013 --- 1:04 p.m.

MADISON, Wis. (AP) -- The Republican president of the state Senate tells The Associated Press that a majority of GOP senators will not support Gov. Scott Walker's plan to expand the private school voucher plan as proposed.

Senate President Mike Ellis said Wednesday that Walker's proposal will have to be "drastically changed." He says that proposal, as well as Walker's plan to offer vouchers for special education children and create a charter school oversight board, are "unacceptable to a majority of the senators."

Republicans hold an 18-15 majority in the Senate.

Ellis says talks are ongoing about how to change Walker's proposals in a way that they can be supported both in the Senate and in the Republican-controlled Assembly.

Walker spokesman Cullen Werwie had no immediate comment.

Copyright 2013: Associated Press

Source: http://www.nbc15.com/home/headlines/GOP-Senators-Break-with-Walker-Over--195649121.html

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Thursday, March 7, 2013

Your chances of dying by 2023? Test offers a clue

In this March 1, 2013 photo, Dr. Marisa Cruz is photographed at the University of San Francisco VA Medical Center in San Francisco. Cruz is the lead author of a study showing that a 12-item list of health questions can help predict chances for dying within 10 years for patients aged 50 and older. The ?mortality index? is designed for doctor-patient discussions about which treatments may be too risky for patients with limited life expectancy. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)

In this March 1, 2013 photo, Dr. Marisa Cruz is photographed at the University of San Francisco VA Medical Center in San Francisco. Cruz is the lead author of a study showing that a 12-item list of health questions can help predict chances for dying within 10 years for patients aged 50 and older. The ?mortality index? is designed for doctor-patient discussions about which treatments may be too risky for patients with limited life expectancy. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)

CHICAGO (AP) ? Want to know your chances of dying in the next 10 years? Here are some bad signs: getting winded walking several blocks, smoking, and having trouble pushing a chair across the room.

That's according to a "mortality index" developed by San Francisco researchers for people older than 50.

The test scores may satisfy people's morbid curiosity, but the researchers say their 12-item index is mostly for use by doctors. It can help them decide whether costly health screenings or medical procedures are worth the risk for patients unlikely to live 10 more years.

It's best to take the test with a doctor, who can discuss what the score means in the context of patients' own medical history, the study authors say.

The index "wasn't meant as guidance about how to alter your lifestyle," said lead author Dr. Marisa Cruz of the University of California, San Francisco.

Instead, doctors can use the results to help patients understand the pros and cons of such things as rigorous diabetes treatment, colon cancer screening and tests for cervical cancer. Those may not be safe or appropriate for very sick, old people likely to die before cancer ever develops.

The 12 items on the index are assigned points; fewer total points means better odds.

? Men automatically get 2 points. In addition to that, men and women ages 60 to 64 get 1 point; ages 70 to 74 get 3 points; and 85 or over get 7 points.

? Two points each: a current or previous cancer diagnosis, excluding minor skin cancers; lung disease limiting activity or requiring oxygen; heart failure; smoking; difficulty bathing; difficulty managing money because of health or memory problem; difficulty walking several blocks.

? One point each: diabetes or high blood sugar; difficulty pushing large objects, such as a heavy chair; being thin or normal weight.

The highest, or worst, score is a 26, with a 95 percent chance of dying within 10 years. To get that, you'd have to be a man at least 85 years old with all the above conditions.

For a score of zero, which means a 3 percent chance of dying within 10 years, you'd have to be a woman younger than 60 without any of those infirmities ? but at least slightly overweight.

It's hardly surprising that a sick, older person would have a much higher chance of dying than someone younger and more vigorous, and it's well known that women generally live longer than men. But why would being overweight be less risky than being of normal weight or slim?

One possible reason is that thinness in older age could be a sign of illness, Cruz said.

Other factors could also play a role, so the index should be seen as providing clues but not the gospel truth, the research suggests.

The findings were published Tuesday in the Journal of the American Medical Association. Grants from the National Institute on Aging and the American Federation for Aging Research helped pay for the study.

The researchers created the index by analyzing data on almost 20,000 Americans over 50 who took part in a national health survey in 1998. They tracked the participants for 10 years. Nearly 6,000 participants died during that time.

They previously used the test to predict the risk of dying within four years. They said their new effort shows the same index can be used to predict 10-year mortality.

Dr. Stephan Fihn, a University of Washington professor of medicine and health quality measurement specialist with Veterans Affairs health services in Seattle, said the index seems valid and "methodologically sound."

But he said it probably would be most accurate for the oldest patients, who don't need a scientific crystal ball to figure out their days are numbered.

___

Online:

Mortality test: bit.ly/QeOX23 (p. 807)

JAMA: http://www.jama.am-assn.org

___

AP Medical Writer Lindsey Tanner can be reached at http://www.twitter.com/LindseyTanner

Associated Press

Source: http://hosted2.ap.org/APDEFAULT/bbd825583c8542898e6fa7d440b9febc/Article_2013-03-06-Aging%20America-Predicting%20Death/id-e3766ef312114378afb56baa34ffbb3e

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Video: Time Warner to Separate Time Inc.

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Source: http://www.nbcnews.com/video/cnbc/51073883/

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Wednesday, March 6, 2013

Ferris State University Student Upgraded to Serious Condition

BIG RAPIDS, Mich. ? The Ferris State University student who was found lying unconscious in the snow last month has been upgraded to serious condition.

Nicholas Suttles was taken to Spectrum Butterworth Hospital in Grand Rapids on Feb. 15 for hypothermia and an irregular heartbeat. ?

The investigation uncovered that Suttles may have been spotted drinking at a party near the 300 block of Morrison. Officials believe he tried to walk home at about 12:30 a.m. to his on-campus housing when he fell into the ditch.

Source: http://fox17online.com/2013/03/05/ferris-state-university-student-upgraded-to-serious-condition/

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Tomb Raider Reboot in the Works

AFI Fest Sets Nov. 7 Opening

By Dave McNary

AFI Fest will run open Nov. 7 and run through Nov. 14 in Hollywood. Venues will include the TCL Chinese Theatre, the Chinese 6 Theatres, the Egyptian Theatre and the Hollywood Roosevelt Hotel. Last?

Fox Reveals Details of New National Sports Network

By Jon Weisman

The network is scheduled for an Aug. 17 launch and will be available in the 90 million homes reached by its ancestor Speed.

Source: http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/1926961/news/1926961/

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